Dear Afrinvestor,
Please find below
our Research Note expressing our initial thoughts on
the recently released H1 2012 results by Nigerian
Breweries Plc.
Nigerian Breweries (NB) recently released its unaudited half year results
showing a 23.9% year-on-year growth in Turnover from N110.2bn to N136.5bn.
Profit Before Tax (PBT) growth was marginally positive by 1.2% from N28.2bn to
N28.5bn, while Profit After Tax (PAT) recorded a similar increase of 2.2% from
N19.0bn to N19.4bn. Pre-tax and net margins however recorded year-on year
declines of 470bps and 300bps from 25.6% and 17.2% to 20.9% and 14.2%
respectively.
These results mirrored our unannualized H1 2012 estimates on top line
basis, with a marginal variance of 0.7%; while the brewer’s net earnings
performance fell significantly below our forecasts by 15.9% on account of a
higher than expected finance expense incurred by the brewer. Despite the slump
in profitability margins, we remain impressed with the brewer’s sales
performance during the period (with historical Q2 turnover, contributing slightly
less than 25.0% to full year numbers).
Based on these results, NB now trades at trailing P/E and P/BV multiples of
23.1x and 12.2x respectively, a slight discount to Guinness’ trailing P/E of
23.5x but a premium to its P/BV of 3.5x. We maintain our NEUTRAL short term
rating on the stock.
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